Welcome to SUMAMURA

May 2012

Monday, May 7 2012

my take for this week ....

 

I had warned last week that something is going to snap somewhere …. And it did …. on Friday ….

 

 

We had a 100 point downtick and similar cut on US indices as well… which means normal short covering bounce will be missing on Monday …. In fact we will drift further down towards 5050 which so many technical analysts are pointing as a major major support …..

 

 

Rupee kissed 54 before RBI intervened aggressively and this is actually causing lot of discomfort to investing community abroad. The possibility of another 5 % drift in Rupee and 5 % cut in Indices means actually a 10 % haircut for FII which difficult to recoup in a current economic climate globally.

 

 

THAT MEANS WHATEVER UPSIDE THAT WAS CONSIDERED AFTER GAAR CLARIFICATIONS ON 8TH IS ALREADY NULLIFIED.

 

 

I HOPE YOU HAVE ALREADY STARTED CHERRY PICKING THE STOCKS OF YOUR CHOICE AS VALUATIONS ARE TURNING ATTRACTIVE.

 

 

Let us hope that we will have more clarity about GAAR and even political air may somewhat clear when presidential candidate will be announced by UPA.


Monday, May 7 2012

world indices weekly trading levels ....

weekly   DATE 7th / 11th  may  2012  
world indices go entry Target Stoploss
dow jones short 13020 12880/740/600/460 13160
long 13160 13300/440 13020
nasdaq composit short  2951 2911/871/831/791 2971
long 2991 3031/71/111 2971
S & P short 1364 1376/59/421352/339/27/14/02 1377
long 1377 1389/1402/14/27 1364
FTSE short 5670 5610/550/490/430 5730
long 5730 5790/850/910 5670
nikkei short 9385 9310/235/160/085 9460
long 9460 9535/610/685/760 9385
australian ordinary short 4470 4440/10/380/50/20/290 4500
long 4500 4530/60/90/620 4470
hangseng short 21000 20700/400/100/19800/500/200 21150
long 21300 21600/900/22200 21150
shanghai short 2445 2410/2375/40/05 2480
long 2480 2515/50/85/2620 2445

 


Monday, May 7 2012

commodities weekly trading levels ....

weekly   DATE 7th / 11th  may  2012    
commodity go entry Target Stoploss  
gold short 1644 1622/1600/1578 1666 US$ / T ounce
long 1666 1688/1710/32 1644  
silver short  30.4 29.95/29.5/29.05/28.6 30.85 US$ / T ounce
long 30.85 31.3/31.75/32.2/32.65 30.4  
crude short 98.7 97.5/96.25/95 99.95 US$ / barrel
long 99.95 101.25/102.5/03.75/05 98.7  
nat gas  short 2.31 2.2/2.09/1.98 2.42 US$ / 10K MMBTU
long 2.42 2.53/2.64/2.75 2.31  
copper short 3.71 3.66/3.61/3.56/3.51 3.76 US$ / pound
long 3.76 3.81/3.86/3.91 3.71  
sugar short 564 558/52/46/40 570 US$ / tonne
long 570 576/82/88/94/600 564  

 


Monday, May 7 2012 TO Friday, May 11 2012
weekly   DATE 7th / 11th  may  2012  
world indices go entry Target Stoploss
dow jones short 13020 12880/740/600/460 13160
long 13160 13300/440 13020
nasdaq composit short  2951 2911/871/831/791 2971
long 2991 3031/71/111 2971
S & P short 1364 1376/59/421352/339/27/14/02 1377
long 1377 1389/1402/14/27 1364
FTSE short 5670 5610/550/490/430 5730
long 5730 5790/850/910 5670
nikkei short 9385 9310/235/160/085 9460
long 9460 9535/610/685/760 9385
australian ordinary short 4470 4440/10/380/50/20/290 4500
long 4500 4530/60/90/620 4470
hangseng short 21000 20700/400/100/19800/500/200 21150
long 21300 21600/900/22200 21150
shanghai short 2445 2410/2375/40/05 2480
long 2480 2515/50/85/2620 2445

Monday, May 7 2012 TO Friday, May 11 2012
weekly   DATE 7th / 11th  may  2012    
commodity go entry Target Stoploss  
gold short 1644 1622/1600/1578 1666 US$ / T ounce
long 1666 1688/1710/32 1644  
silver short  30.4 29.95/29.5/29.05/28.6 30.85 US$ / T ounce
long 30.85 31.3/31.75/32.2/32.65 30.4  
crude short 98.7 97.5/96.25/95 99.95 US$ / barrel
long 99.95 101.25/102.5/03.75/05 98.7  
nat gas  short 2.31 2.2/2.09/1.98 2.42 US$ / 10K MMBTU
long 2.42 2.53/2.64/2.75 2.31  
copper short 3.71 3.66/3.61/3.56/3.51 3.76 US$ / pound
long 3.76 3.81/3.86/3.91 3.71  
sugar short 564 558/52/46/40 570 US$ / tonne
long 570 576/82/88/94/600 564