Welcome to SUMAMURA

August 2012

Wednesday, August 22 2012
INTRADAY   DATE 22nd august 2012  
stocks / indices go entry Target Stoploss
PREFER TRADES IN DIRECTION OF NIFTY AS PER NIFTY SPOT INTRA LEVELS
BANK NIFTY short 10485 10450/415/380/345/310/275/240 10520
long 10520 10555/590/625/660 10485
RELIANCE short  818 814/10/06/02 822
long 822 826/30/34 818
ICICI BANK short 972 965/59/52/46 978
long 978 985/91/98 972
SBI short 1914 1901/1888/75/62 1927
long 1927 1940/53/66 1914
LT short 1467 1461/55/49/43 1473
long 1473 1479/85 1467
tata motors short  246.50 245/43.5/42/40.5/39 248
long 248 249.5/51/52.5 246.5
BHEL short 230 228.5/27 231.5
long 231.5 233/34.5/36 230
BHARTI BPCL 259 257.5/56/54.5/53/51.5/50 260.5
long 260.5 262/63.5/65 259
bank of baroda short 638 635/32/29/26/23 641
long 641 644/47/50/53 638
yes bank short 358 356.5/55/53.5/52 359.5
long 359.5 361/62.5/64 358

Tuesday, August 21 2012
NIFTY SPOT INTRA ....
 
go short / long – 5357 / 5375
 
stoploss - opposite
 
long targets – 5393/5411/29
 
short targets – 5338/19/5300

Tuesday, August 21 2012
INTRADAY   DATE 21st august 2012  
stocks / indices go entry Target Stoploss
PREFER TRADES IN DIRECTION OF NIFTY AS PER NIFTY SPOT INTRA LEVELS
BANK NIFTY short 10410 10370/330/290/250 10450
long 10450 10490/530/570 10410
RELIANCE short  816 812/08/04/800 820
long 820 824/28/32 816
ICICI BANK short 961 957/52/48 966
long 966 970/75/79 961
SBI short 1898 1886/74/62/50 1910
long 1910 1922/34/46 1898
LT short 1450 1444/37/31/24 1457
long 1457 1463/70/76 1450
tata motors short  240.50 239/37.5/36/34.5/33 242
long 242 243.5/45/46.5/48 240.5
strides arcolab short 819 816/13/10/07 822
long 822 825/28/31/34 819
tata power BPCL 97.2 96.4/95.6/94.8/94 98
long 98 98.8/99.6 97.2
mangalore chem short 50.9 50.55/50.15/49.75/49.4 51.3
long 51.3 51.65/52.05/52.4/52.8 50.9
INFY short 2347 2332/17/02 2362
long 2362 2377/92 2347

Tuesday, August 21 2012 TO Friday, August 24 2012
Posn Trading
Lvls
  Date 21st / 24th august 2012  
Index Go Entry Targets Stoploss
ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY
cnx nifty short 5380 5329/278/227/176/125 5431
long 5431 5482/533/584 5480
bse sensex short 17730 17560/390/220/050 17900
long 17900 18070/240/410 17730
 BANK NIFTY Short 10425 10345/265/185/105/025 10505
Long 10505 10585/665/745/825 10425
CNX IT Short 5990 5940/890/840/790 6040
Long 6040 6090/140/190 5990
ACC Short 1330 1321/12/03/1294/85 1339
Long 1339 1348/57/66/75 1330
AXIS BANK Short 1110 1094/78/60 1126
Long 1126 1142/60 1110
BAJAJ AUTO Short 1690 1675/60/45/0/15/1600 1705
Long 1705 1720/35/50/65 1690
BHEL Short 231 228/25/22/19 234
Long 234 237/40/43 231
BHARTI Short 260 257.5/55/52.5/50/47.5/45 262.5
Long 262.5 265/67.5/70/72.5 260
HUL Short 503 499/95/91/87/83/79 507
Long 507 511/15/19/23 503
HDFC Short 714 708/02/696/90/84/78 720
Long 720 726/32/38 714
hdfc bank Short 595.5 591/86.5/82/77.5/73 600
Long 600 604.5/09/13.5/18 595.5
INFOSYS Short 2363 2345/27/09/291/73 2381
long 2381 2399/417/35 2363
ICICI BANK Short 962 952/42/32/22/12 972
Long 972 982/92/1002/12 962
IDFC Short 140.8 139.6/38.4/37.2/36/34.8/33.6 142
Long 142 143.2/44.4/45.6/46.8/48 140.8
ITC Short 261.5 259/56.5/54/51.5/49 264
Long 264 266.5/69/71.5/74 261.5
LT Short 1448 1427/06/1385/64 1458
Long 1469 1490/1511/32 1458
M&M Short 765 754/43/33/22/11 775
Long 775 786/97 765
MARUTI short 1177 1166/55/44/33/22/11 1188
Long 1188 1199/1210/21/32 1177
RELIANCE Short 817 807/798/88/79/69 826
long 826 836/45/55 817
rel infra Short 508 501/495/88 514
Long 514 521/27/34 508
SBI Short 1900 1870/40/10/1780 1930
Long 1930 1960/90/2020 1900
TATAMOTORS Short 241 238/35/32/29/26 244
Long 244 247/50 241
TATASTEEL Short 394 390.5/87/83.5/80 397.5
Long 397.5 401/04.5/08/11.5/15 394
TCS Short 1277 1268/58/49/40 1287
Long 1287 1296/1306 1277
CNX MIDCAP short 7330 x 7405
long 7405 x 7330
CNX AUTO  short 4000 x 4045
long 4045 x 4000
CNX FMCG short 13350 x 13460
long 13460 x 13350
CNX INFRA short 2370 x 2400
long 2400 x 2370
CNX METAL short 2725 x 2755
long 2755 x 2725
CNX MNC short 5485 x 5520
long 5520 x 5485
CNX PHARMA short 5515 x 5580
long 5580 x 5515
CNX PSE short 2900 x 2925
long 2925 x 2900
CNX REALTY short 217.5 x 221
long 221 x 217.5

Monday, August 20 2012

Trading levels 20th / 24th August 2012



As I look at weekly charts of major global markets …. Most of them are making topping out patterns. What does that mean ??
It means there is risk / reward ratio in favour of going short on the markets …. INCLUDING OUR MARKET.

Markets have run up on the hope of monetary easing by ECB as well as FED. If that does not happen in next couple of weeks …. All these markets will correct 5 to 7 % in max 2 weeks time.

If FED / ECB act as expected there could be 3 max 4 % upside. So … YOU CAN TAKE YOUR OWN CALL.

As regards to our market … CAG report is a ticking time bomb and that will keep market under constant pressure.PMO is trying to rubbish it by taking a harsh line against the functioning of CAG itself which is a constitutional body and that is like playing with fire.

I will strongly suggest hedging your portfolios by buying JUST OUT OF THE MONEY puts or by selling AT THE MONEY CALLS. Choice is yours.

I expect markets to drift lower towards 5250/5300 in coming two weeks unless there r huge dollops of FII inflow.

 

TER POSN TRADING weekly DATE 20th / 24th august 2012  
stocks / indices go entry Target Stoploss
bse sensex short 17730 17560/390/220/050 17900
long 17900 18070/240/410 17730
CNX MIDCAP short 7330 x 7405
long 7405 x 7330
CNX AUTO  short 4000 x 4045
long 4045 x 4000
CNX FMCG short 13350 x 13460
long 13460 x 13350
CNX INFRA short 2370 x 2400
long 2400 x 2370
CNX METAL short 2725 x 2755
long 2755 x 2725
CNX MNC short 5485 x 5520
long 5520 x 5485
CNX PHARMA short 5515 x 5580
long 5580 x 5515
CNX PSE short 2900 x 2925
long 2925 x 2900
CNX REALTY short 217.5 x 221
long 221 x 217.5