Trading levels  22nd / 26th October 2012

 

Last week --- the whole week was spent in a very tight rang …. From 5633 / 5725 … just about 90 points.  THIS IS UNUSUAL.

NORMALLY, RESOLUTION OF THESE TIGHT RANGES HAPPEN WITH ABOUT DOUBLE SIZE BREAK-OUT MOVE IN FOLLOWING FEW DAYS.

Monday could be the day when the range will be broken. On Friday, we have seen a major reversal in US markets and chances are big that our market will replicate same on Monday. If we do not get out of this tight range on Monday, that will be a big show of strength by our market. Then there is every chance we will move up substantially when US market improves.

Result season so far is just about OK except ITC. ITC declared stellar set of numbers and justified the confidence reposed in it by global / domestic investors. Now the stock has onerous task to keep performing at this elevated level quarter after quarter lest the stock will take a bad tumble.

I wish to reiterate that I  will be extremely wary of taking further long positions till we have a clear break-out again beyond the recent high of 5800+.

I maintain that distribution  ( which many bulls are calling as consolidation ) is clearly evident thru large intraday volatility of 60 / 70 points with-in a tight range of 90 points.
 

 

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 16th may 2012

 

tata motors - my view .....

tata motors ...

 JLR sales r lower by nearly 35/40 % in each jaguar and landrover segment .... compared to march 2110 .....

this is a scary drop .... as 85 % tatamotor profits r coming from JLR ... and 35 % drop in JLR volume wl mean  more than 50 % cut in JLR profits ....

hence ths stock has taken a knock .......

it is likely that stock wl settle between 248/260 range in next few days as the large funds and HNIs adjust their portfolios ......

 

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many of u may not use these .... but can circulate to yr friends .... just as a point of view to be kept at the back of yr mind ......
 
 
 
17th apr
 
S&P 500 ... spot levels ... intra for today ...
 
S&P spot intra
 
short / long – 1378 / 1382
 
 
stop loss – opposite
 
 
L targets – 1384/87/91/94/97/1401
 
 
S targets – 1372/67/62/57
 
 
 
 
 
 
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