Welcome to SUMAMURA

November 2017

Monday, November 20 2017 TO Friday, November 24 2017

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245


Monday, November 20 2017

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245

ashok leyland

Short

116.5

114.5/12.5/10.5/08.5/06.5

118.5

Long

118.5

120.5/22.5

116.5

axis bank

Short

543

537.5/32/26.5/21

548.5

Long

548.5

554/59.5/65

543

bharat forge

Short

714

706/698/90/82

722

Long

722

730/38

714

bharti airtel

Short

493

484/75

497.5

Long

502

511/20

497.5

bajaj finance

Short

1787

1763/39/15

1811

Long

1811

1835/59

1787

BOB

Short

183

180/77/74/71/68

186

Long

186

189/92

183

BEML

Short

1633

1612/1591/70

1654

Long

1654

1675/96

1633

BOSCH

Short

19075

18850/625/400/175

19300

Long

19300

19525/750

19075

eicher motors

Short

30900

30650/400/150/29900/650

31150

long

31150

31400/650

30900

ESCORTS

Short

698

688/78/68/58

708

Long

708

718/28

698

hdfc bank

Short

1819

1802/1785/68/51

1836

Long

1836

1853/70

1819

HDFC

Short

1703

1688/73/58/43

1718

Long

1718

1733/48

1703

HUL

Short

1282

1261/40/19

1303

Long

1303

1324/45

1282

ICICI BANK

Short

327

324/21/18/15/12/09

330

Long

330

333/36

327

INFOSYS

Short

970

962/54/46/38/30

978

long

978

986/94

970

indusind bank

Short

1637

1626/15/04/1593/82/71

1648

Long

1659

1670/81

1648

IB HSG

Short

1175

1156/37/18/1099/80

1194

Long

1194

1213/32

1175

ITC

Short

257

253.5/50/46.5/43

260.5

Long

260.5

264/67.5

257

LT

Short

1225

1209/1193/77/61

1241

Long

1241

1257/73/89

1225

M&M

Short

1417

1396/75/54/33

1438

Long

1438

1459/80

1417

MARUTI

Short

8250

8160/070/7980/890/800

8340

Long

8340

8430/520

8250

PNB

Short

188

185.5/83/80.5/78/75.5/73

190.5

Long

193

195.5/98/200.5/203

190.5

RELIANCE

Short

910

900/890/80/70/60

920

long

930

940/50

920

SBI

Short

338

334/30/26/22/18/14/10

342

Long

342

346/50

338

TATAMOTORS

Short

422

418.5/15/11.5/08

425.5

Long

429

432.5/36

425.5

tata steel

Short

702

691/80/69

713

Long

713

724/35

702

TCS

Short

2698

2670/42/14

2726

Long

2726

2754/82

2698

TVS MOTORS

Short

706

699/92/85/78/71

713

Long

720

727/34

713

TITAN

Short

791

784/77/70/63/56

798

Long

798

805/12

791

VOLTAS

Short

613

606/599/92/85

620

Long

620

627/34

613

YES BANK

Short

306

303.5/301/298.5/96/93.5/91

308.5

Long

311

313.5/16

308.5

ULTRATECH

Short

4230

4170/110/050/3990/930

4290

Long

4290

4350/410

4230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11110

x

11220

long

11220

x

11110

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14100

long

14100

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25470

x

25670

long

25670

x

25470

CNX INFRA

short

3485

x

3530

long

3530

x

3485

CNX METAL

short

3705

x

3740

long

3740

x

3705

NIFTY MID100

short

19360

x

19550

long

19550

x

19360

CNX PHARMA

short

9130

x

9240

long

9240

x

9130

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3891

x

3891

long

4004

x

4004

CNX REALTY

short

300

x

304

long

304

x

300


Monday, November 20 2017 TO Friday, November 24 2017

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245

ashok leyland

Short

116.5

114.5/12.5/10.5/08.5/06.5

118.5

Long

118.5

120.5/22.5

116.5

axis bank

Short

543

537.5/32/26.5/21

548.5

Long

548.5

554/59.5/65

543

bharat forge

Short

714

706/698/90/82

722

Long

722

730/38

714

bharti airtel

Short

493

484/75

497.5

Long

502

511/20

497.5

bajaj finance

Short

1787

1763/39/15

1811

Long

1811

1835/59

1787

BOB

Short

183

180/77/74/71/68

186

Long

186

189/92

183

BEML

Short

1633

1612/1591/70

1654

Long

1654

1675/96

1633

BOSCH

Short

19075

18850/625/400/175

19300

Long

19300

19525/750

19075

eicher motors

Short

30900

30650/400/150/29900/650

31150

long

31150

31400/650

30900

ESCORTS

Short

698

688/78/68/58

708

Long

708

718/28

698

hdfc bank

Short

1819

1802/1785/68/51

1836

Long

1836

1853/70

1819

HDFC

Short

1703

1688/73/58/43

1718

Long

1718

1733/48

1703

HUL

Short

1282

1261/40/19

1303

Long

1303

1324/45

1282

ICICI BANK

Short

327

324/21/18/15/12/09

330

Long

330

333/36

327

INFOSYS

Short

970

962/54/46/38/30

978

long

978

986/94

970

indusind bank

Short

1637

1626/15/04/1593/82/71

1648

Long

1659

1670/81

1648

IB HSG

Short

1175

1156/37/18/1099/80

1194

Long

1194

1213/32

1175

ITC

Short

257

253.5/50/46.5/43

260.5

Long

260.5

264/67.5

257

LT

Short

1225

1209/1193/77/61

1241

Long

1241

1257/73/89

1225

M&M

Short

1417

1396/75/54/33

1438

Long

1438

1459/80

1417

MARUTI

Short

8250

8160/070/7980/890/800

8340

Long

8340

8430/520

8250

PNB

Short

188

185.5/83/80.5/78/75.5/73

190.5

Long

193

195.5/98/200.5/203

190.5

RELIANCE

Short

910

900/890/80/70/60

920

long

930

940/50

920

SBI

Short

338

334/30/26/22/18/14/10

342

Long

342

346/50

338

TATAMOTORS

Short

422

418.5/15/11.5/08

425.5

Long

429

432.5/36

425.5

tata steel

Short

702

691/80/69

713

Long

713

724/35

702

TCS

Short

2698

2670/42/14

2726

Long

2726

2754/82

2698

TVS MOTORS

Short

706

699/92/85/78/71

713

Long

720

727/34

713

TITAN

Short

791

784/77/70/63/56

798

Long

798

805/12

791

VOLTAS

Short

613

606/599/92/85

620

Long

620

627/34

613

YES BANK

Short

306

303.5/301/298.5/96/93.5/91

308.5

Long

311

313.5/16

308.5

ULTRATECH

Short

4230

4170/110/050/3990/930

4290

Long

4290

4350/410

4230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11110

x

11220

long

11220

x

11110

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14100

long

14100

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25470

x

25670

long

25670

x

25470

CNX INFRA

short

3485

x

3530

long

3530

x

3485

CNX METAL

short

3705

x

3740

long

3740

x

3705

NIFTY MID100

short

19360

x

19550

long

19550

x

19360

CNX PHARMA

short

9130

x

9240

long

9240

x

9130

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3891

x

3891

long

4004

x

4004

CNX REALTY

short

300

x

304

long

304

x

300


Monday, November 20 2017

MOODYS OBLIGES MODI ….. BUT WILL THAT MAKE HIM A HEADSTRONG REFORMER OR A POPULIST LEADER ? ? ?

 

Trading levels – 20th / 24th  November  2017

 

This Friday morning was probably the most pleasant morning for MODI / SHAH duo since 16th may 2014 – the day of election verdict. MOODYS HAD UPGRADED INDIA’S SOVEREIGN RATING TO BAA2 – STABLE OUTLOOK FROM BAA3 – POSITIVE OUTLOOK. This upgrade came after 13 long years.

 

How much  we should  read into this upgrade ?  In 2004, we had BBB rating – which was JUNK category. This was not investment grade. Naturally, hardly any FIIs could invest in INDIA.  SO THIS MOVE  - FROM JUNK CATEGORY  BBB TO INVESTMENT GRADE BAA3 -  WAS A PARADIGM SHIFT. This time, the impact will be much  muted.  AT BEST – WE MAY HAVE SOME 25/30 BASIS POINT RELIEF WHEN WE TRY TO BORROW FROM OVERSEAS SOURCES.

 

The markets showed a huge surge on Friday in first half an hour. However … there was no follow-up buying and the gains were moderated by the end of the day.

 

THIS WAS NOT REALLY A GOOD OMEN FOR THE BULLS.  I expect markets to get into slow grinding mood with negative bias from Monday onwards  - slowly  moving towards 10,000 NIFTY or even lower.

 

Later in the evening, crude again made a dash beyond 62 dollars  along with increase in other precious metals -  which is not exactly a good news for the market.

 

BUT, THE BIGGEST RISK TO THE MARKET IS MODI’S MOOD. After getting the upgrade, he may suddenly become an adamant headstrong reformer  and try to become a populist leader in other areas because of election compulsions. HE MAY THROW CAUTION TO THE WIND AS FAR AS FRBM IS CONCERNED BY ANNOUNCING A SLEW OF POPULIST MEASURES TO SATISFY CERTAIN VOTE BANKS. This could hurt industry and honest tax paying middle class no end.

 

Both the  gaps in the NIFTY daily chart – 10237 / 10240 and 10104 / 10124 were filled last week. Negative divergences on MACD and money flow charts are still suggesting further correction hence I feel confident of the slide again – this time below 50DMA and towards 10,000.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

NOVEMBER  2017 TRADING LEVELS are posted. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please ping me on 9371002943 on WHATSAPP for any queries.  Please identify yourself clearly.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245

CNX AUTO

short

11110

x

11220

long

11220

x

11110

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14100

long

14100

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25470

x

25670

long

25670

x

25470

CNX INFRA

short

3485

x

3530

long

3530

x

3485

CNX METAL

short

3705

x

3740

long

3740

x

3705

NIFTY MID100

short

19360

x

19550

long

19550

x

19360

CNX PHARMA

short

9130

x

9240

long

9240

x

9130

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3891

x

3891

long

4004

x

4004

CNX REALTY

short

300

x

304

long

304

x

300

 


Thursday, November 16 2017

PL PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intraday

 

DATE

16-Nov-17

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

10136

10114/10092/070/048/026/004

10158

long

10158

10180/202/224

10136

bank nifty

short

25260

25140/020/24900

25380

long

25380

25500/620

25260

SBI

short

326

323.5/21/18.5/16

328.5

long

x

x

x

hind zinc

short

297

295/93/91/89/87

299

long

X

X

X

finolex ind

short

631

626/20/15/09/04

637

long

x

x

x

bata

short

748

741/34/27/20

755

long

x

x

x

voltas

short

586

581/76/71/66/61/56

591

long

x

x

x