Messages

Monday, December 11 2017
08:39 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

11th / 15th   dec 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10259

10182/105/028/9951/874/797

10336

long

10336

10413/490

10259

bank nifty

short

25325

25015/24705/395/085

25635

long

25635

25945/26255

25325

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32890/630/370/110/31850/590

33410

long

33410

33670/930

33150

cnx IT

short

11155

11045/9935/825

11265

long

11265

11375/485/595

11155

ashok leyland

Short

119

117.5/16/14.5/13/11.5/10

120.5

Long

122

123.5/25/26.5/28

120.5

axis bank

Short

539

534/29/24/19

544

Long

544

549/54/59/64

539

bharat forge

Short

706

696/86/76/66/56

716

Long

716

726/36

706

bharti airtel

Short

517

512/07/02

522

Long

527

532/37/42

522

bajaj finance

Short

1692

1668/44/20/1596

1716

Long

1740

1764/88

1716

BOB

Short

168

166.75/65.5/64.25/63/61.75/60.5

169.25

Long

170.5

171.75/73/74.25/75.5

169.25

BEML

Short

1605

1582/59/36/13/1490

1628

Long

1628

1651/74/97/1720

1605

BOSCH

Short

19250

18950/650/350/050

19550

Long

19550

19850/20150

19250

eicher motors

Short

29050

28850/650/450/250/050

29250

long

29450

29650/850

29250

ESCORTS

Short

675

664/53/42/31/20

686

Long

686

697/708

675

hdfc bank

Short

1836

1815/1794/73

1857

Long

1857

1878/99

1836

HDFC

Short

1674

1653/32/11

1695

Long

1695

1716/37

1674

HUL

Short

1322

1310/1298/86/74

1334

Long

1334

1346/58

1322

ICICI BANK

Short

312

307/02/297/92

317

Long

317

322/27/32

312

INFOSYS

Short

999

989/79/69

1009

long

1009

1019/29

999

indusind bank

Short

1670

1657/44/31/18/05

1683

Long

1683

1696/1709

1670

IB HSG

Short

1210

1198/86/74/62/50

1222

Long

1222

1234/46

1210

ITC

Short

261.5

258/54.5/51

265

Long

265

268.5/72

261.5

LT

Short

1214

1196/78/60/42

1232

Long

1232

1250/68

1214

M&M

Short

1383

1368/53/38/23

1398

Long

1398

1413/28

1383

MARUTI

Short

8920

8790/660/530

9050

Long

9050

9180/310

8920

PNB

Short

172

170/68/66/64/62/60

174

Long

174

176/78/80/82

172

RELIANCE

Short

917

905/893/81

929

long

929

941/53

917

SBI

Short

316

313/10/07/04/01/298

319

Long

319

322/25

316

TATAMOTORS

Short

413

409/05/01/397/93/89

417

Long

417

421/25

413

tata steel

Short

700

690/80/70/60/50

710

Long

710

720/30

700

TCS

Short

2610

2590/70/50/30/10

2630

Long

2630

2650/70/90

2610

TVS MOTORS

Short

746

738/30/22

754

Long

754

762/80

746

TITAN

Short

816

806/796/86/76

826

Long

826

836/46

816

VOLTAS

Short

623

613/03/593/83

633

Long

633

643/53

623

YES BANK

Short

312

307/02/297/92

317

Long

317

322/27/32

312

ULTRATECH

Short

4180

4140/100/060/020/3980/40

4220

Long

4220

4260/300

4180

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11330

x

11440

long

11440

x

11330

CNX ENERGY

short

14190

x

14320

long

14320

x

14190

CNX FMCG

short

26280

x

26470

long

26470

x

26280

CNX INFRA

short

3508

x

3548

long

3548

x

3508

CNX METAL

short

3620

x

3662

long

3662

x

3620

NIFTY MID100

short

19925

x

20075

long

20075

x

19925

CNX PHARMA

short

9075

x

9175

long

9175

x

9075

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3745

x

3785

long

3785

x

3745

CNX REALTY

short

322

x

325

long

325

x

322


Monday, December 4 2017
08:22 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

4th / 8th  dec 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10180

10090/10000/9910/9820

10270

long

10270

10360/450

10180

bank nifty

short

25260

25020/24780/540/300

25500

long

25500

25760/26020

25260

BSE SENSEX

short

32900

32640/32380/32120/31840

33160

long

33160

33420/680

32900

cnx IT

short

10980

10840/700/560

11120

long

11120

11260/400

10980

ashok leyland

Short

120.5

119.25/18/16.75/15.5/14.25/13

121.75

Long

123

124.25/25.5

121.75

axis bank

Short

536.5

530/23.5/17

543

Long

543

549.5/56/62.5/69

536.5

bharat forge

Short

690

683/76/69/62

697

Long

697

704/11/18

690

bharti airtel

Short

484

476.5/69/61.5/54

487.75

Long

491.5

499/506.5/14

487.75

bajaj finance

Short

1718

1693/68/43/1618

1743

Long

1743

1768/93/1818

1718

BOB

Short

169.5

166/62.5/59

171.25

Long

173

176.5/80

171.25

BEML

Short

1643

1623/03/1583/63

1663

Long

1663

1683/1703

1643

BOSCH

Short

19830

19490/150/18810/470/130

20000

Long

20170

20510/850

20000

eicher motors

Short

29380

29060/28740/420/28100

29700

long

30020

30340/660/980

29700

ESCORTS

Short

682

674/66/58/50

690

Long

698

706/14

690

hdfc bank

Short

1856

1842/28/14/1800

1870

Long

1870

1884/98/1912

1856

HDFC

Short

1671

1659/47/35/23/11/1599

1683

Long

1695

1707/19/31/43/55

1683

HUL

Short

1248

1236/24/12/1200

1260

Long

1272

1284/96/1308/20

1260

ICICI BANK

Short

305

298.5/92/85.5

308.25

Long

311.5

318/24.5

308.25

INFOSYS

Short

962

949/36/23/10

975

long

975

988/1001/14

962

indusind bank

Short

1660

1648.5/37/25.5/14/02.5/1591

1671.5

Long

1683

1694.5/1706

1671.5

IB HSG

Short

1143

1133/23/13/03

1153

Long

1163

1173/83/93

1153

ITC

Short

257

253.5/50/46.5/43

260.5

Long

260.5

264/67.5

257

LT

Short

1214

1199/84/69/54

1229

Long

1229

1244/59/74

1214

M&M

Short

1404

1391/78/65/52/39/26

1417

Long

1430

1443/56/69

1417

MARUTI

Short

8530

8450/370/290/210

8610

Long

8610

8690/770

8530

PNB

Short

172.5

169/65.5/62/58.5/55

174.25

Long

176

179.5/83/86.5/90

174.25

RELIANCE

Short

908

895/82/69/56

921

long

921

934/47/60

908

SBI

Short

313.5

309.5/05.5/01.5/297.5/93.5

317.5

Long

321.5

325.5/29.5/33.5

317.5

TATAMOTORS

Short

400

396/92/88/84/80

404

Long

404

408/12/16/20

400

tata steel

Short

681

671/61/51/41

691

Long

691

701/11/21

681

TCS

Short

2627

2605/2583/61/39

2649

Long

2649

2671/93/2715

2627

TVS MOTORS

Short

725

718/11/04/697/90

732

Long

732

739/46

725

TITAN

Short

802

789/76/63/50

815

Long

815

828/41

802

VOLTAS

Short

618

607/596/85

629

Long

629

640/51

618

YES BANK

Short

308

303.5/299/94.5/90

312.5

Long

317

321.5/26

312.5

ULTRATECH

Short

4197

4148/4099/4050/4001

4246

Long

4246

4295/4344

4197

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11205

x

11300

long

11300

x

11205

CNX ENERGY

short

13980

x

14090

long

14090

x

13980

CNX FMCG

short

25650

x

25910

long

25910

x

25650

CNX INFRA

short

3480

x

3525

long

3525

x

3480

CNX METAL

short

3620

x

3650

long

3650

x

3620

NIFTY MID100

short

19750

x

19925

long

19925

x

19750

CNX PHARMA

short

9085

x

9165

long

9165

x

9085

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3784

x

3812

long

3812

x

3784

CNX REALTY

short

320

x

325

long

325

x

320


Monday, November 27 2017
08:26 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

27th nov / 1st dec 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10375

10325/275/225

10425

long

10475

10525/575

10425

bank nifty

short

25660

25490/320/150

25830

long

26000

26170/340

25830

BSE SENSEX

short

33550

33375/200/025/32850

33725

long

33900

34075/250

33725

cnx IT

short

11280

11205/130/055/10980

11355

long

11430

11505/580

11355

ashok leyland

Short

119

117.25/15.5/13.75/12/10.25

120.75

Long

120.75

122.5/24.25

119

axis bank

Short

544.5

539/33.5/28

550

Long

550

555.5/61

544.5

bharat forge

Short

703

695/87/79/71/63

711

Long

711

719/27/35

703

bharti airtel

Short

494.5

490.5/86.5/82.5

498.5

Long

498.5

502.5/06.5/10.5

494.5

bajaj finance

Short

1788

1765/42/19

1811

Long

1811

1834/57/80

1788

BOB

Short

175

172.5/70/67.5/65

177.5

Long

180

182.5/85

177.5

BEML

Short

1683

1664/45/26

1702

Long

1702

1721/40

1683

BOSCH

Short

19090

18900/710/520/330/140

19280

Long

19280

19470/660/850

19090

eicher motors

Short

30750

30500/250/30000/29750/500

31000

long

31000

31250/500

30750

ESCORTS

Short

683

673/63/53

693

Long

693

703/13

683

hdfc bank

Short

1852

1830/08/1786/64

1874

Long

1874

1896/1918

1852

HDFC

Short

1718

1701/1684/67/50

1735

Long

1735

1752/69

1718

HUL

Short

1272

1262/52/42/32/22/12

1282

Long

1292

1302/12

1282

ICICI BANK

Short

317.5

315/12.5/10/07.5/05

320

Long

322.5

325/27.5/30

320

INFOSYS

Short

997

987/77/67

1007

long

1007

1017/27

997

indusind bank

Short

1672

1652/32/12/1592

1692

Long

1692

1712/32

1672

IB HSG

Short

1178

1167/56/45/34/23/12/01

1189

Long

1189

1200/11/22/33

1178

ITC

Short

261

259/57/55/53

263

Long

265

267/69

263

LT

Short

1222

1207/1192/77/62

1237

Long

1237

1252/67

1222

M&M

Short

1427

1405/1383/61/39

1449

Long

1449

1471/93

1427

MARUTI

Short

8410

8320/230/140/050

8500

Long

8500

8590/680

8410

PNB

Short

184

181.5/79/76.5/74/71.5

186.5

Long

189

191.5/94

186.5

RELIANCE

Short

948

941/34/27/20

955

long

962

969/76/83/90

955

SBI

Short

330

327/24/21/18/15/12

333

Long

336

339/42/45/48

333

TATAMOTORS

Short

424

419.5/15/10.5/06

428.5

Long

428.5

433/37.5/41

424

tata steel

Short

708

702/696/90/84/78

714

Long

714

720/26

708

TCS

Short

2700

2679/58/37/16

2721

Long

2721

2742/63

2700

TVS MOTORS

Short

736

730/24/18/12

742

Long

742

748/54

736

TITAN

Short

823

811/799

835

Long

835

847/59

823

VOLTAS

Short

615

697/599/91

623

Long

623

631/39

615

YES BANK

Short

310

302.5/295/87.5/80

314

Long

317.5

325/32.5

314

ULTRATECH

Short

4230

4185/40/4095/50/4005

4275

Long

4275

4320/65

4230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11340

x

11450

long

11450

x

11340

CNX ENERGY

short

14410

x

14500

long

14500

x

14410

CNX FMCG

short

25900

x

26100

long

26100

x

25900

CNX INFRA

short

3535

x

3560

long

3560

x

3535

CNX METAL

short

3780

x

3815

long

3815

x

3780

NIFTY MID100

short

19800

x

20000

long

20000

x

19800

CNX PHARMA

short

9360

x

9425

long

9425

x

9360

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4025

x

4065

long

4065

x

4025

CNX REALTY

short

314.5

x

318

long

318

x

314.5


Monday, November 20 2017
07:59 AM

MOODYS OBLIGES MODI ….. BUT WILL THAT MAKE HIM A HEADSTRONG REFORMER OR A POPULIST LEADER ? ? ?

 

Trading levels – 20th / 24th  November  2017

 

This Friday morning was probably the most pleasant morning for MODI / SHAH duo since 16th may 2014 – the day of election verdict. MOODYS HAD UPGRADED INDIA’S SOVEREIGN RATING TO BAA2 – STABLE OUTLOOK FROM BAA3 – POSITIVE OUTLOOK. This upgrade came after 13 long years.

 

How much  we should  read into this upgrade ?  In 2004, we had BBB rating – which was JUNK category. This was not investment grade. Naturally, hardly any FIIs could invest in INDIA.  SO THIS MOVE  - FROM JUNK CATEGORY  BBB TO INVESTMENT GRADE BAA3 -  WAS A PARADIGM SHIFT. This time, the impact will be much  muted.  AT BEST – WE MAY HAVE SOME 25/30 BASIS POINT RELIEF WHEN WE TRY TO BORROW FROM OVERSEAS SOURCES.

 

The markets showed a huge surge on Friday in first half an hour. However … there was no follow-up buying and the gains were moderated by the end of the day.

 

THIS WAS NOT REALLY A GOOD OMEN FOR THE BULLS.  I expect markets to get into slow grinding mood with negative bias from Monday onwards  - slowly  moving towards 10,000 NIFTY or even lower.

 

Later in the evening, crude again made a dash beyond 62 dollars  along with increase in other precious metals -  which is not exactly a good news for the market.

 

BUT, THE BIGGEST RISK TO THE MARKET IS MODI’S MOOD. After getting the upgrade, he may suddenly become an adamant headstrong reformer  and try to become a populist leader in other areas because of election compulsions. HE MAY THROW CAUTION TO THE WIND AS FAR AS FRBM IS CONCERNED BY ANNOUNCING A SLEW OF POPULIST MEASURES TO SATISFY CERTAIN VOTE BANKS. This could hurt industry and honest tax paying middle class no end.

 

Both the  gaps in the NIFTY daily chart – 10237 / 10240 and 10104 / 10124 were filled last week. Negative divergences on MACD and money flow charts are still suggesting further correction hence I feel confident of the slide again – this time below 50DMA and towards 10,000.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

NOVEMBER  2017 TRADING LEVELS are posted. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please ping me on 9371002943 on WHATSAPP for any queries.  Please identify yourself clearly.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320